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AHT: 01CSV

19 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Dunkerque
22.1%
Draw
24.0%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Dunkerque

vs
1.04

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).