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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Newton Aycliffe
18.7%
Draw
25.0%
Warrington Rylands

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Newton Aycliffe

vs
1.60

Warrington Rylands

Markets

BTTS72.7%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
4-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).