Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Stal Mielec
22.5%
Draw
52.5%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Stal Mielec
vs
2.11
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS67.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
5.4%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).