Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Hatayspor
29.9%
Draw
31.9%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Hatayspor
vs
1.43
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).