Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Nurnberg
23.7%
Draw
26.5%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Nurnberg
vs
1.40
Dresden
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).