Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Leighton Town
15.5%
Draw
14.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Leighton Town
vs
1.22
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).