Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Leicester
24.9%
Draw
34.6%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Leicester
vs
1.53
QPR
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).