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14 Feb 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.1%
Auxerre
15.2%
Draw
10.7%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Auxerre

vs
0.76

Chambly

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).