Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Stevenage
26.5%
Draw
35.3%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Stevenage
vs
1.09
Reading
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).