Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Lille
24.5%
Draw
25.9%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Lille
vs
1.06
Brest
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).