Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Freiburg
28.6%
Draw
20.9%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Freiburg
vs
0.84
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).