Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Crawley Town
22.0%
Draw
57.0%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Crawley Town
vs
1.81
Swindon
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).