Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Las Palmas
25.7%
Draw
18.0%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Las Palmas
vs
0.73
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).