Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Tenerife
26.8%
Draw
20.1%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Tenerife
vs
0.77
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).