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DHT: 10CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.6%
West Ham
22.7%
Draw
12.7%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

West Ham

vs
0.82

Leicester

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).