Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Nice
27.2%
Draw
22.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Nice
vs
0.82
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).