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AHT: 01

31 Jan 2026 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Widzew Lodz
28.6%
Draw
38.4%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.35

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).