Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Fenerbahce
22.8%
Draw
20.8%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Fenerbahce
vs
1.47
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).