Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Juve Stabia
31.5%
Draw
29.1%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Juve Stabia
vs
1.00
Perugia
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).