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20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Barnet
28.3%
Draw
30.9%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Barnet

vs
0.98

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).