Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Nimes
24.2%
Draw
45.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Nimes
vs
1.44
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).