Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Alessandria
30.4%
Draw
34.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Alessandria
vs
1.19
Perugia
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).