Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Empoli
29.1%
Draw
33.6%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Empoli
vs
1.24
Trapani
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).