Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Welling United
21.2%
Draw
62.5%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Welling United
vs
1.88
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).