Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Eibar
29.2%
Draw
31.1%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Eibar
vs
1.04
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).