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05 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Ipswich
29.4%
Draw
42.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Ipswich

vs
1.46

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).