Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Pau FC
16.7%
Draw
60.1%
Leighton Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Pau FC
vs
2.89
Leighton Town
Markets
BTTS78.9%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.8%
Over 3.569.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
6.0%
1-4
4.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-4
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-3
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).