Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Rio Ave
26.0%
Draw
40.2%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Rio Ave
vs
1.30
Aves
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).