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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.9%
Dortmund
17.7%
Draw
15.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Dortmund

vs
1.26

Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS67.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).