Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Shrewsbury
17.4%
Draw
73.7%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Shrewsbury
vs
1.99
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
16.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
0-5
2.2%
2-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).