Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Northampton
27.2%
Draw
44.2%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Northampton
vs
1.21
Bolton
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).