Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Modena
24.9%
Draw
11.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Modena
vs
0.59
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).