Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Luton
28.4%
Draw
37.5%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Luton
vs
1.32
QPR
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).