Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Sutton
30.1%
Draw
33.0%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sutton
vs
1.14
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).