Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Newport County
26.1%
Draw
55.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Newport County
vs
1.43
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).