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27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.5%
Macclesfield
14.0%
Draw
8.6%
Nantwich Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.61

Macclesfield

vs
0.75

Nantwich Town

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-0
3.3%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).