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14 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.0%
Nordsjælland
22.1%
Draw
50.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Nordsjælland

vs
2.14

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS69.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-3
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
0-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).