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22 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Sheffield United
27.5%
Draw
29.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Sheffield United

vs
1.17

Norwich

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).