Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Werder Bremen
18.3%
Draw
15.4%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Werder Bremen
vs
1.24
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).