Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Newport County
14.4%
Draw
75.5%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Newport County
vs
2.60
Stockport
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).