Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Istanbulspor
30.2%
Draw
41.0%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Istanbulspor
vs
1.59
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).