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DHT: 00CSV

16 Apr 2016

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Kidderminster
36.1%
Draw
35.6%
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Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Kidderminster

vs
0.92

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Markets

BTTS33.7%
Over 0.580.7%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.3%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).