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21 Dec 2024 · 18:00

AVS

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Boavista
25.3%
Draw
24.7%
AVS

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Boavista

vs
0.94

AVS

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).