Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Zenit
30.4%
Draw
19.1%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Zenit
vs
0.77
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).