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01 Feb 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.4%
Niort
18.9%
Draw
66.7%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Niort

vs
1.99

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).