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06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.0%
Stenhousemuir
31.7%
Draw
31.2%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.99

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).