Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Alaves
32.0%
Draw
28.7%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Alaves
vs
0.86
Valencia
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.1%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).