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01 Apr 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Kaiserslautern
25.8%
Draw
45.8%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.72

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).