Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Tondela
22.0%
Draw
55.5%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Tondela
vs
1.82
Estoril
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).