Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Trapani
30.0%
Draw
23.6%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Trapani
vs
0.91
Benevento
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).